Ukraine is depleting its financial resources to sustain its military and economy afloat, after close to 48 months of Russia's full-scale war.
For Europe, the solution to addressing Ukraine's budget hole of €135.7bn for the next two years is found in frozen Russian assets sitting in Belgian bank Euroclear, and European Union officials seek to finalize the plan at their Brussels summit next week.
Authorities in Russia caution the EU plan would be an illegal seizure, and Russia's central bank stated on Friday it was initiating legal action against Euroclear in a Moscow court prior to a definitive agreement is made.
In total, Russia has about €210bn of its funds blocked in the EU, and €185bn of that is managed by Euroclear.
Brussels and Kyiv argue that money should be used to restore what Russia has devastated: The European Commission refers to it as a "reparations loan" and has come up with a plan to prop up Ukraine's economy to the tune of €90bn.
"It is appropriate that Moscow's blocked funds should be used to reconstruct what Russia has destroyed – and that money then becomes ours," states Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.
Germany's leader Friedrich Merz says the assets will "allow Ukraine to protect itself successfully against any future Russian attacks".
The legal move by Moscow was anticipated in Brussels. But it is not only Moscow that is unhappy.
The Belgian government is concerned it will be left with an enormous bill if it all goes wrong, and Euroclear CEO Valérie Urbain argues using the assets could "disrupt the global financial architecture".
Euroclear also has an approximate €16-17bn frozen in Russia.
Belgian Prime Minister Bart de Wever has given Brussels a series of "logical, sensible, and warranted conditions" before he will agree to the reconstruction loan scheme, and he has left open the possibility of legal action if it "carries significant risks" for his country.
European Union officials is under pressure before next Thursday's summit to agree on a compromise that Belgium can agree to.
Previously the EU has avoided using the frozen capital directly but for the past year has transferred the "windfall profits" from them to Ukraine. In 2024 that amounted to €3.7bn. Juridically, using the profits is deemed safe as Russia is subject to sanctions and the proceeds are not property of the Russian state.
But global military support for Ukraine has slipped dramatically in 2025, and Europe has had trouble trying to make up the shortfall resulting from the US decision to largely cease funding Ukraine under President Donald Trump.
There are at the moment two EU plans aimed at furnishing Ukraine with €90bn, to pay for a majority of its funding needs.
The European Commission recognizes Belgium has legitimate concerns and claims it is assured it has addressed them.
The proposal is for Belgium to be safeguarded with a guarantee applying to all the €210bn of Russian assets in the EU.
Should Euroclear face a financial hit of its own assets in Russia, the shortfall would be covered from assets belonging to Russia's own clearing house which are in the EU.
Should Russia took legal action against Belgium itself, any ruling by a Russian court would not be recognized in the EU.
In a significant move, EU ambassadors are set to approve on Friday to permanently block Russia's central bank assets held in Europe for the foreseeable future.
Previously they have had to vote unanimously every six months to renew the freeze, which could have meant a ongoing risk to Belgium.
The EU ambassadors are planning to use an extraordinary measure under Article 122 of the EU Treaties so the assets stay blocked as long as an "immediate threat to the economic security of the union" continues.
Brussels is adamant it remains a staunch ally of Ukraine, but perceives legal risks in the plan and worries about being forced to deal with the fallout if things fail.
A normally fractured political scene in this case has rallied behind Prime Minister Bart de Wever, who is facing pressure from other European officials.
"Belgium has a modest-sized economy. Belgian GDP is around €565bn – imagine if it would need to carry a €185bn bill," says Veerle Colaert, academic specializing in financial regulation at KU Leuven University.
While the EU might be able to obtain sufficient assurances for the loan itself, Belgium fears an further exposure of being exposed to extra damages or penalties.
Prof Colaert also contends the demand for Euroclear to grant a loan to the EU would violate EU banking regulations.
"Lenders need to comply with capital and liquidity requirements and shouldn't put all their eggs in one basket. Now the EU is instructing Euroclear to do just that.
"What is the purpose of these bank rules? It's because we want banks to be solvent. And if things fail it would be up to Belgium to save Euroclear. That's an additional reason why it's so crucial for Belgium to secure water-tight guarantees for Euroclear."
Time is of the essence, caution several EU member states including those neighboring Russia such as the Baltics, Finland and Poland. They maintain the scheme involving immobilized capital is "the most financially feasible and practically possible solution".
"This is a crucial test for us," states leading German conservative MP Norbert Röttgen. "If the plan collapses, I don't know what we'll do afterwards. That's why we have to succeed in a week's time".
Although Russia is unyielding its money should not be used, there are further worries among EU officials that the US may want to employ Russia's frozen billions differently, as part of its own peace plan.
Zelensky has said Ukraine is in discussions with Europe and the US on a recovery fund, but he is also cognizant the US has been holding discussions with Russia about future co-operation.
A preliminary version of the US peace plan referred to $100bn of Russia's frozen assets being used by the US for reconstruction, with the US {taking|receiving
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